السفارة الأمريكية بجوبا تجلي موظفيها من السفارة

This is the most up to date information, we have as of Jan. 4, 2014 at 1:00 pm Central Time.
Gunfire heard in the Giada military barracks area of Juba. (From multiple confirmed reports on Twitter).
Possibility that gunfire in Juba is from tense guards that became frightened or from rebels trying to create anxiety in Juba rather than from an attack. One Twitter report argues that gunfire was from police firing on potential looters in Jebel Market area of Juba.
The US has evacuated most embassy personnel from Juba.
The “White Army” of Lou Nuer is advancing with aims to attack Juba. This army is comprised primarily of youth, mostly 12-15 years old, and many are recruited under threat according to reports circulating now. They are called the “white army” because of the powder they use to cover themselves to ward off mosquitoes.
Reports are that the South Sudan Army was ambushed on the way to Bor suffering significant casualties. Riek Machar stated that the rebels will reach Juba soon.
The South Sudan Army will again attempt to retake Bor and confront the White Army there instead of Juba.
If the White Army wins in Bor, Juba may be attacked soon afterwards. The distance is not far.
If the White Army fails in Bor it will be because thousands have been killed.
If Juba is attacked, many more thousands will be killed.
Uganda will become involved much more substantially if the threat against Juba increases. Right now Uganda is largely on the sideline. Museveni will not allow Juba to fall without engaging in the fight and using the full weight of his military including air power.
This conflict seems to have begun with a power struggle within the leadership of the SPLM.
Whether or not there was a coup in process at the start of this conflict (Riek Machar denies it), there is now an insurrection involving several military leaders and demands for the ouster of the President under threat of violence at the hands of the military. By definition there is currently a coup attempt in process, though the scope of this event makes that term irrelevant. This is on the scale of a civil war involving thousands, if not tens of thousands, of soldiers on both sides. East African leaders will not accept a coup in South Sudan.
Riek Machar has said that he only wants to run in the next elections. However, at this point, he is leading a rebel group seeking to take over the country.
Several leading figures of the SPLM are currently being held under arrest including former party leader Pagan Amum.
No oil will flow from South Sudan until the conflict ends and foreign workers can return to work.
Unmanned wells will deteriorate rapidly and require significant reconstruction before long, resulting in a major delay, perhaps months long, for the renewal of the oil flow and costing the nation billions of dollars in revenue resulting in a certain economic crisis following even an immediate end to this crisis and a worsening one the longer it continues.
The only possibility of democracy returning to South Sudan in the near future: i.e. months, not weeks, would be for the sides to agree to a cease fire soon. The longer this conflict goes on and the more people die, the worse the animosity will be afterwards and the more difficulty it will be to work together in a democratic nation.
Ethnic based killings and other human rights violations have occurred.
The refugee situation in South Sudan is extreme with tens of thousands of people displaced and existing refugee camps in areas of conflict.
Peace talks in Ethiopia have just begun. Failure of the peace talks will have catastrophic consequences.