د. المعز أبو نوره , صاحبنا بيرنى ساندرز كاسح ....

Quote: Hillary Clinton is totally beatable in a general election. Just not by Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. New York holds its primaries tomorrow. Stay caught up with the race. The Post's James Hohmann says.. If Hillary wins by double digits, which all the polls suggest she will, Sanders’s path to the Democratic nomination becomes extraordinarily narrow. If Sanders wins, she will still maintain a big lead in pledged delegates, but she will be badly bloodied going forward. New York Democratic polling averages It may be a make-or-break contest on the Democratic side. A Clinton loss in New York would bolster Sanders’s claim that he can still catch up to her and become the nominee. 53% 40% New York GOP polling averages Donald Trump: 53% Trump enjoys broad support in this state, which has 95 delegates at stake. John Kasich: 23% Kasich sees an opportunity if New York stays skeptical of Cruz. Ted Cruz: 18% Cruz's repeated attacks on Trump's "New York values" don't play well in the state. The 5 big states that will likely decide both nominations New York Delegates at stake for the Democrats: 291 Delegates at stake for the Republicans: 95 Pennsylvania Delegates at stake for the Democrats: 189 Delegates at stake for the Republicans: 71 Indiana Not a key state for Democrats. Delegates at stake for the Republicans: 57 California Delegates at stake for the Democrats: 475 Delegates at stake for the Republicans: 172 New Jersey Not a key state for Republicans. Delegates at stake for the Democrats: 126 Everything you need to know about the delegate race ahead Share on Facebook Republican candidates' popularity with the general public A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows unpopularity with the public at-large for leading Republicans Trump and Cruz. 050Trump31% favorable67% unfavorableCruz3653Kasich3939 Source: Washington Post-ABC News polls April 6-10 among 1,010 adults. Error margin +/- 3.5 percentage points THE WASHINGTON POST 67 percent of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump Share on Facebook The upcoming voting schedule April 19 Both parties vote in New York. April 26 Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island hold primaries. May 3 Indiana holds it primary contests. 5-Minute Fix newsletter Keeping up with politics is easy now. E-mail address Add Campaign 2016 ✕ State of the 2016 race By Chris Cillizza April 18 at 11:47 AM Hillary Clinton (Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post) Take two minutes to flip through the new NBC-Wall Street Journal poll and you are left with two very clear takeaways: 1. Hillary Clinton is deeply vulnerable in a general election. 2. Donald Trump and, to a lesser extent, Ted Cruz, are the exact wrong candidates to take advantage of Clinton's weaknesses. That is the reality that faces Republicans as they look down the road at the general election. A totally winnable race after eight years out of the White House that may be unwinnable -- or close to it -- because of a primary process that has put forward two of their least appealing general election candidates. Start with this: Just one in three (32 percent) of general election voters see Clinton in a positive light while 56 percent regard her negatively. That's Clinton's worst score since NBC-WSJ started asking about Clinton's image in early 2001. And, the NBC-WSJ numbers are far from an outlier. Her numbers -- particularly when it comes to the number of people who view her as "honest" and "trustworthy" have long been in net negative territory -- and the ongoing questions surrounding her private email server while serving as Secretary of State doesn't help matters. The simple fact is that Clinton is totally known by the general electorate and somewhere between mildly and strongly disliked by a majority of them. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton responded to criticism from rival contenders on various Sunday shows. (TWP) That's a problem. In a "normal" election year it's a really BIG problem. This is not a normal election year, which of course you know unless you've been hiding under a pile of coats for the last 15 months. So, yes, Clinton is unpopular. But her numbers look positively great when compared to where Donald Trump stands in that same NBC-WSJ poll. Just one in four (24 percent) of respondents give Trump a positive rating while 65 percent give him a negative one. That's a "historic low for a major presidential candidate in the NBC/WSJ poll," according to NBC deputy political director Carrie Dann. But, when you look inside those Trump numbers, things get even worse. Check this out: Seven in ten women view Trump negatively! Three in four millennials! Eight in ten Hispanics! 5-Minute Fix newsletter Those numbers are historically bad. And, I would say that no candidate could win a general election with them except that I have witnessed Trump flip his negatives to positives with Republican voters so I am not ready to rule it totally out. What I will say is those numbers make it virtually impossible for a candidate to win a general election. Cruz is not Trump. But, neither is he popular with the broader electorate. Twenty six percent of people had a positive view of him as compared to 49 percent who had a negative view. That's a net -23, right in line with Clinton's net -24. And, it's worth considering that Cruz is less well known than either Clinton or Trump, meaning that he has room to grow -- either positively or negatively -- if and when he becomes the GOP nominee. My guess is that Cruz's Senate record would provide Democratic groups as well as Clinton's campaign with ample opposition research to cast the Texan as too conservative for the average swing voter in, say, Ohio. The old adage that you can't beat someone with no one fits here. Put slightly more accurately, it's that you can't beat an unpopular person with someone even less popular. If Clinton and Trump are the two presidential nominees, which still seems the most likely outcome today, you can expect a race-to-the-bottom the likes of which have been rarely seen even in presidential politics. Given where each of the candidate's numbers stand, the only way to win will be to make it a choice between bad and worse. Clinton seems poised to win that fight -- by a wide margin against Trump and a narrower margin against Cruz. Should Clinton be elected the 45th president of the United States, Republicans will spend the next four years (at least) kicking themselves at missing such a great opportunity. But, as it stands today, that is exactly what they are poised to do.