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Re: حـزب الامـة القـومـي ..المجـاعـة في السـودان حقيقـة ماثلـة ... بيـان مهـم (Re: عمر عبد الله فضل المولى)
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Important statement
Famine in The Sudan
An Eminent Fact
A- Introduction :
In pursuance of it’s national responsibility and according to it’s usual practices , the Umma national party expertise has closely monitored the 2009/2010 2009/2010 agricultural season . It’s sources of information included reports of the federal and state ministries of agriculture and forests , animal wealth , irrigation (especially 2009 season ) , Sudan Metrologkal Authority FAO 2004 report and the reports of the party’s own specialization members . It also followed relevant economic press reports and arranged special crop production assessment field trips .
B- Available facts and figures :
In the light of available facts and figures , the Umma national party concluded that :
1- Rains started late , were below normal and badly distributed in time and place over most of the agricultural production in rain-fed areas .
2- Finance of agricultural operations was late and insufficient .
3- Inputs prevision was late .
4- The agricultural bank policy of deprivation of indepted farmers of it’s finance led to the exclusion of large areas from rain-fed agriculture .
5- Neglect of Dura (Sorghum) cultivation together with farmers averseness to cotton growing in the irrigated and spate flood areas (Elgash , Toker and Abu Habil) led to the exclusion of extensive potential areas from cultivation .
6- The cessation of rain at the critical month of August led to the loss of most of the early sown crop as well as the late sown crops .
C- The Gost of famine :
1- Most sources advice that grain production in Sudan this season will not exceed 1.8 million (one million , eight hundred thousands ) metric tons . Their estimate of wheat production is half a million tons at it’s best , because of late sowing and related irrigation problems . Thus the total grain production estimated for this season is 2.3 million (two million , three hundred thousand) metric tons .
2- Based on the recent population census the annual grain requirement of the Sudan is 5.6 million (five million , six hundred thousand) metric tons .
3- Thus , then production of Grain in Sudan this season is only 40% of it’s requirement and the 60% deficit is equal to 3.3 million (three million three hundred thousand ) metric Tons of Grain .
4- Dura (sorghum) prices escalated madly to between 100-115 Sudanese pounds per sack during the period of plenty (Harvest) this price is beyond the means of the majority of Sudanese people . Scarcity of supply coupled with high prices of grain affirm that what Sudan now faces is not only food shortage but a real famine unless the necessary measurement to avoid it are taken urgently .
5- The effects of drought are not confined only to grain shortage but extends to the animal wealth of Sudan which is estimated at 145 millions ######### of cattle , camels , sheep , and goats . The range is impoverished in grass and drinking water is confined to the haffirs(pits), depressions and valley bottoms , A big number of animals is expected to perish , and serious conflicts between farmers , graziers and animal owners to increase especially in tribal contact areas as big numbers of animal herds will move southwards earlier and remain longer in search of water and grazing .
D- Required solutions :
This deteriorated situation clearly reflects the wide differences in food crisis management between totalitarian and democratic regimes . By reference to the third democratic era , we find that the government in 1988 took the follows measurements :
1- Maximizing the cropped area by providing the necessary financing and inputs to both rain-fed and irrigated sectors .
2- Purchase of available stocks directly from producers at equitable prices .
3- Crop storage by scientific methods as a safe guard for future possible shortages .
4- Safe guarding animal routes and settlement s .
5- Making available haffirs and deep water wells in good working conditions .
6- Making available veterinary services at reasonable cost .
The best example for the due care taken of peoples interests under democrat rule is what happened in 1988 under the third democracy in Sudan . The food shortage built in the bumper crop years saved the salvation government (the current regime) in 1990 when it faced a food shortage period . On contrast to this is the neglect of the present government of the – so called – National unity of peoples interest and the famine we are experiencing .
The Umma national party demands that the government :
1- Immediately declares the state of famine and endevour to mobilize the necessary aid to evade the catastrophic consequences of the famine .
2- Immediately import grains (sorghum, wheat and maize ) and made available to needy people at subsidized prices .
The umma national party has announced it’s intension to gold a press conference next week for further elucidation on the extent of the problem and possible solutions by the party experts.
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