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 Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. (Re: جعفر محي الدين)
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1. C the UN Security Council’s dialogue with President Mbeki (Wed 17 Sept)
2. Statement from the Troika on the National Dialogue on Sudan (Thurs 18 Sept) – it sets out 6 principles that “provide a basis for meaningful governance reform and lasting resolution of the conflicts in Sudan”
3. Summary and full text of the AU PSC Communique following its dialogue with President Mbeki (Fri 12 Sept) – key provisions in respect of the AUHIP mandate and PSC’s expectations of GoS/IC are highlighted
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Confidential readout from Mbeki interactive briefing to UNSC
New York, 17 September 2014
Topline points
· Mbeki’s main message was that the ND is the only viable prospect for achieving democratic transformation in Sudan that we’ve seen in years – very optimistic a genuine ND can happen
· International community must support the ND and provide debt relief/lift sanctions – economic challenges cannot be left to wait until the political challenges are resolved
· Mbeki does not want a detailed, prescriptive mandate – this will constrain him – but he is discussing ToRs (presumably with Khartoum – he was vague on identity of the other party)
· Mbeki presented a clear vision of how the ND process should unfold:
o Get all the parties (including all armed groups) to agree the principles that should frame the ND process before it starts (ie the ND Roadmap will have to be revisited in coming days)
o Two parallel but coordinated CoH negotiations will commence in October: one for Darfur (using DDPD as the framework) and another for the Two Areas
o CoHs must be agreed before ND starts – but Mbeki would not be drawn on a timeline for concluding CoH agreements
o We are in the preparatory phase of the ND – we do not yet have a conducive environment (but no detail of what criteria need to be met in Mbeki’s mind to reach a conducive environ)
o ND must be fully inclusive – this will take time achieve
o ND will need to run for more than 3 months
o Elections are on the agenda for discussion during the ND (implication being the 15 April 2015 timeline might change)
· Outcome of the dialogue: no UNSC statement is planned. UNSC next scheduled to discuss Sudan in November (Australia’s presidency) as it has shifted from monthly to 3-monthly consultations on Sudan/South Sudan.
Parameters of the dialogue
· Mbeki was essentially updating the UNSC on his work on Sudan and the national dialogue (ND) ie not seeking the Council’s approval for next steps
· His opening remarks were lengthy and included a historical overview of how the ND has come about
o Sth Sudan was not discussed
o There was very little mention of N/S relations: Mbeki noted a new strategy is needed on Abyei; there has been no significant progress on unfinished CPA business; of the 27 Sept 2012 Agreements between Sudan and South Sudan, only the oil agreement is being upheld
· A lengthy QandA session followed (not the usual prepared statements from UNSC members). Mbeki provided detailed answers after each question which made for a long meeting
· Mbeki was joined by UN Special Envoy Haile Menkerios and UNAMID JSR/JCM Chambas – however Mbeki did almost all the talking
o Menkerios and Chambas were invited by the US (Chair) to make some remarks at the end and both strongly endorsed the work and leadership of the AUHIP and emphasized the significance of the opportunity presented by the ND
o Mbeki, Chambas and Menkerios presented as a very united and ‘joined up’ team
§ [Yet Chambas has resigned his position with UNAMID and is said to be leaving by the end of Sept. There is no clarity on when the post will be filled or by whom. The S-G/AUC Chair announced the appointment of a new Deputy JSR this week.]
· Russia and China were uncomfortable about the Council discussing the ND:
o Sudan is not on the Council’s agenda – the ND is not our concern – it is a domestic political process
o This view was not expressed by any other UNSC members – they see direct links between UNAMID, SK/BN (res.2046) and the ND
Mbeki’s main messages:
· Very strong that the ND is the only viable prospect for achieving democratic transformation in Sudan that we’ve seen in years – we cannot let this moment pass us by
o He reported that only 8 of the 90 political parties in Sudan are not on board with the ND
· A secondary point (ie not one that he emphasized as much) was that the international community cannot leave Sudan’s economic issues to be dealt with after the political issues are resolved – these need to be dealt with in tandem - ie Sudan needs debt relief and for sanctions to be lifted in the immediate future
o Russia and China amplified the need for debt relief/lifting sanctions in their interventions
o US responded by saying that whilst there is ongoing aerial bombardment, it is not the right time to be making these concessions
· Several states asked him how the UNSC can assist/support him. He had two suggestions:
o Come out publicly and strongly in support of the ND
o Commit to providing Sudan debt relief and lifting economic sanctions
Mbeki on his mandate:
· States asked questions about how he sees his mandate and his role
· Mbeki acknowledged his mandate is not well defined but he does not want to be constrained by something that is prescriptive (he argued it will give others the ability to argue that he does not have the authority to intervene on a range of issues – he needs the flexibility to determine when and where he should intervene)
· However, he presented a very clear picture to the Council of what he wants to achieve, and how he plans to get there
· His overarching goal is achieving democratic transformation in Sudan
· He has been going about this in a strategic fashion:
o He and Chambas went to Doha to get the green light from the Qataris to convene the Darfur CoH negotiations in Addis
o He was successful in getting Ibrahim al-Sheikh released from detention
o He got the Paris Declaration Group and G7+7 to sign the Addis Agreements (5 Sept Agreements)
· There are two draft ToRs under discussion that set out what the AUHIP is to do (it was implied he is negotiating this with Khartoum – which one Council member said is sensible otherwise he won’t get visas or be able to continue to engage directly with Khartoum – the Ch 7 approach does not work with Khartoum – right now the IC has no other interlocutor with Sudan other than Mbeki)
Establishing a conducive environment:
· Mbeki did not provide specific details on this issue – but his responses to questions showed he does not think a conducive environment has been achieved yet
o He acknowledged that that Khtm is yet to deliver on the freedoms Bashir promised, he continues to raise the aerial bombardments and political arrests with Khartoum, and armed groups must have security guarantees before they can be expected to travel to Khtm for a dialogue
o He acknowledged that the security forces are not operating in line with the government, and this needs to change
Process leading up to the start of the ND:
· First step is agreeing CoH agreements in Darfur and Two Areas – two parallel and coordinated negotiations:
o First step is concluding a separate CoH Agreement for Darfur at the same time as a CoH for SK/BN
o These must be two parallel and coordinated processes
o The two CoH negotiations will start on 12 October:
§ Mbeki will bring GoS + SPLM-N together on 12th
§ Chambas/Mbeki will convene the armed rebel groups from Darfur on 15 Oct
o The resulting CoHs will bear similarities – but distinct differences that are specific to the situations in each
§ Eg. Darfur CoH will use the DDPD as the framework for discussions
§ Darfur faces many problems that are beyond the scope of the DDPD – so these will be dealt with in the ND
· Timeline for CoH negotiations:
o It is not practical to put timelines on when the CoH negotiations have to be concluded
o Russia and China welcomed this – essential to respect Sudanese sovereignty – no one should be imposing deadlines on a Sudanese political process
Timeline for the ND and how it fits with elections:
· Mbeki characterized the current situation as the ‘preparatory phase’, which has been ongoing since Bashir’s announcement of the ND in Jan 2014
· For the ND to start, it is essential to first get the CoHs agreed, otherwise the armed groups will not participate in the ND
· Another requirement is that the ND Roadmap that was endorsed by the G7+7 will have to be revisited – as it was concluded before the armed groups (SRF) had agreed to participate in the ND
o In the coming days, the ‘General Assembly of the ND ’ will be convened to mandate the G7+7 Committee to meet with the armed groups to review the Roadmap and Agreement
· ND must be fully inclusive, and this will take time
· ND cannot be conclude in 1 to 3 months time – it will take longer than this
· On elections:
o The Constitution sets the date of 15 April
o It is obvious the ND will have implications for the ND
o The agenda for the ND will include a point on the elections [implying it needs to be a point of discussion, and the timing might need to be rethought and agreed as part of the ND]. END
Joint Troika Statement on National Dialogue in Sudan
18 September 2014
The members of the Troika (the United States, the United Kingdom, and Norway) welcome recent efforts to reinvigorate a process of genuine national dialogue in Sudan. As the country confronts a new and critical era in its history, we remain conscious of the continuing governance concerns expressed by the Sudanese people, the problems of centre-periphery imbalance, and the articulation of political, economic, and social grievances, particularly in the country’s peripheries. Despite years of peacemaking attempts supported by regional and international actors, deadly conflicts persist. We recognize that the many such attempts to resolve conflict and rectify grievances at a regional level have failed to achieve a sustainable peace. We reiterate our support for a mediation architecture that facilitates both resolution of conflict and a comprehensive process of national dialogue, and thus welcome initial progress with Sudanese stakeholders to this end, under the auspices of the African Union High-Level Implementation Panel.
In this regard, we recognize the following Principles as a basis for meaningful governance reform and lasting resolution of the conflicts in Sudan:
· There is no military solution to the conflicts in Sudan;
· A compartmentalized and regional approach to peace-making cannot yield a solution to grievances that are national in character;
· A sustainable peace and genuinely representative political system can best be achieved through a comprehensive national dialogue that addresses fundamental issues of governance, political inclusiveness, resource-sharing, identity, and social equality at a national level;
· A comprehensive dialogue should be broadly inclusive; its exercise and outcomes should recognize and accommodate the country’s unique diversity of peoples, cultures, and religions; and such a dialogue must necessarily include the Government of Sudan, armed and unarmed opposition movements, political parties, a broad range of civil society representatives, and constituents from every region of Sudan;
· A comprehensive dialogue can succeed only in an environment conducive to meaningful participation of all of the country’s diverse constituents, free from any restrictions to the right to assembly or the right to freedom of expression;
· A comprehensive dialogue might best serve Sudan and its people by:
· Upholding the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Republic of Sudan;
· Yielding an inclusive and participatory governance arrangement that allows all citizens and regions to participate in institutions that are democratic in nature and to benefit equitably from Sudan’s national resources;
· Agreeing to a timeline and benchmarks for the holding of national elections, so as to ensure elections can be broadly participatory and yield legitimate and widely-recognized outcomes, and thus help to initiate a more democratic political dispensation in Sudan. END
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Summary of key points of the Communiqué of the 456th Meeting of the Peace and Security Council
The AU PSC:
· Expressed satisfaction at the exemplary cooperation between JSR/JCM, Mohamed Ibn Chambas, the Special Envoy of the UN Secretary-General, Haile Menkerios, and the Special Envoy of IGAD, Lissane Yohannes and the AUHIP;
· Welcomed the continued engagement of Qatar in the search for peace in Darfur;
· Expressed full support for the coordinated effort to address national issues, as well as the situations in the “Two Areas” and in Darfur, within a common framework;
· Expressed satisfaction the adoption of the Paris Declaration and the Roadmap of the “7+7” Committee, on 8 and 9 August 2014, respectively, as well as the readiness of the registered Political parties, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N), the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), the Sudan Liberation Movement-SLM (Minni Minawi) and the Sudan Liberation Movement-SLM (Abdel Wahid al-Nur) to participate in a common process, as expressed in the Addis Ababa Agreement of 5 September 2014 on the principles of the National Dialogue, its objectives and the key steps necessary for the creation of the enabling environment;
· Recognized the importance of the National Dialogue, as an authentic, transparent, inclusive and fair process initiated and owned by the people of Sudan, in order to bring about lasting peace across the entire country;
· Emphasized that the success of the National Dialogue will be greatly enhanced by international measures to alleviate the economic distress facing the country. Noted the country still does not have access to international financial support, including debt relief, concessionary loans and other mechanisms normally available to countries undergoing such hardships;
· Urged all international actors with a mediation mandate to pool their resources together, as well as harmonize their interventions, in a manner that optimizes the window of opportunity presented by the National Dialogue, with a view to finding a comprehensive and lasting solution to the conflicts in Sudan;
· Endorsed the following steps to ensure harmonized and focused action by the AUHIP;
o the negotiations on cessation of hostilities, immediately leading to a comprehensive security arrangements agreement, should resume at the earliest opportunity, under the auspices of the AUHIP and in collaboration and coordination with the JSR/JCM;
o the negotiations on the cessation of hostilities for the Two Areas and for Darfur should be conducted in a synchronized manner;
o a meeting of the Sudanese parties to discuss relevant process issues, in order to pave the way for the National Dialogue should be held at the AU Headquarters under the facilitation of the AUHIP, as requested by the Sudanese stakeholders, to ensure that the necessary confidence-building are taken, the key steps of the National Dialogue process are fully agreed upon, and that the process is fair and will result in the mutually-agreed objectives;
· Encouraged the Government of Sudan to expedite efforts towards implementing the agreed confidence-building measures, including:
o the release of all political detainees and prisoners;
o the adoption and implementation of all necessary steps to ensure political freedoms and full guarantee of the freedom of expression and publication, including by enacting the necessary legislation to give effect to these freedoms;
o ensuring that the judiciary will be the only institution to adjudicate matters relating to the exercise of the freedom of expression and publication, with no resort to extraordinary measures; and
o providing the necessary guarantees for the armed groups freely to participate in the National Dialogue, once the comprehensive ceasefire and security arrangements agreements have been concluded, and facilitating humanitarian assistance to all populations in war-affected areas;
· Urged all Sudanese stakeholders participating in the National Dialogue to refrain from hate speech and from conducting negative media campaigns against each other;
· Further urged the international community, especially the African Development Bank (AfDB), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and bilateral partners, to consider providing an economic support package to Sudan, including expediting debt relief and extending concessionary loans, in support of the people of Sudan as they move forward. Council appeals to all States that have imposed sanctions on the financial services sector to lift them, in order to contribute positively towards the creation of enabling conditions for the success of the National Dialogue;
· Reiterated support for the Joint Approach by Sudan, South Sudan and the AUHIP, including comprehensive debt relief and lifting of sanctions for Sudan and development support to South Sudan.
· Requested the AUHIP, in close consultation with the Chair and Secretariat of IGAD, to contribute to the promotion of a regional and holistic approach to the challenges of peace, security, stability and development in the Horn of Africa, in support of IGAD’s efforts.
On South Sudan;
· Commendation for GoS for receiving South Sudanese fleeing the conflict in their country and extending the Four Freedoms to them while in Sudan, as well as for allowing the establishment of a humanitarian corridor to facilitate the provision of humanitarian assistance to the affected populations in South Sudan.
Full Communique available here. END
(عدل بواسطة Saifeldin Gibreel on 09-26-2014, 04:34 PM)
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| العنوان |
الكاتب |
Date |
| خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 11:31 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 11:36 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | جعفر محي الدين | 09-26-14, 11:56 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 12:01 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 12:22 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 12:25 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 12:28 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 01:00 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 01:15 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Mohamed Suleiman | 09-26-14, 01:18 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | nour tawir | 09-26-14, 01:35 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 03:38 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | جعفر محي الدين | 09-26-14, 04:05 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | Saifeldin Gibreel | 09-26-14, 04:27 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 04:36 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 07:28 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 08:26 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | azhary taha | 09-26-14, 09:21 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | azhary taha | 09-26-14, 09:28 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | ناصر حسين محمد | 09-26-14, 09:40 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-26-14, 10:27 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | بريمة محمد | 09-26-14, 10:44 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | مبارك عبدالرحمن احمد | 09-27-14, 09:29 AM |
| خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة.. | جمعة هري بوش | 09-26-14, 10:49 PM |
| خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | جمعة هري بوش | 09-26-14, 11:10 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-27-14, 09:34 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-28-14, 09:51 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | جعفر محي الدين | 09-28-14, 06:06 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-28-14, 08:36 PM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | جعفر محي الدين | 09-29-14, 07:17 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | جعفر محي الدين | 09-29-14, 07:58 AM |
| Re: خطيير: محاضر جهاز الامن السودانى قاعدة في الصقيعة. | سيف اليزل سعد عمر | 09-29-14, 04:52 PM |
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Saifeldin Gibreel
فيس بوك
تويتر
انستقرام
يوتيوب
بنتيريست