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Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... (Re: محمد مكى محمد)
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).أما عن البشير ...الله فى..والشعب السودانى..
They're off
Mar 18th 2010 | KHARTOUM From The Economist print edition
How the government is stacking the odds in its favour
CAMPAIGNING is under way for the country’s first real multi-party elections since 1986, due to be held on April 11th. Voters, opposition politicians and foreign governments, all seemingly united in their dislike of President Omar al-Bashir, had hoped that these polls would bring about a “democratic transformation” of the country. But there is every sign the Sudanese will have to wait quite a bit longer for genuinely fair elections.
The coming polls are the result of a peace deal signed in 2005 to end a 50-year on-and-off war between the Muslim northern half of the country and the Christian and animist south. According to the UN, they are also “some of the most complicated elections ever”. Voters will choose a national president, a national assembly, state governors, state assemblies, the president of the semi-autonomous south, and the southern assembly. In addition there are several different types of voting systems, including first-past-the-post, a straight majority one for choosing the president, proportional representation and a women’s list. In all, voters in the north must cast eight different votes and those in the south must cast 12.
That would be hard enough in a rich country. In Sudan most people have never voted before. Many of them, particularly in the south, where the infrastructure is also dire, are illiterate. A low-level civil war persists in the western region, Darfur, where many displaced people live in camps.
Even if such obstacles are surmounted and the polls go ahead roughly as planned, Mr Bashir and his National Congress Party (NCP) will have huge advantages. The northern opposition and the party of the former southern rebels, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM), who are gathered in a loose anti-Bashir grouping known as the Juba Alliance, have put forward numerous complaints. The electoral registration, they say, was badly flawed. Access to the state-controlled media has been restricted; one of Mr Bashir’s main challengers, Sadiq al-Mahdi, a former prime minister, was unable to broadcast a speech in which he reminded voters at length that Mr Bashir is wanted by the International Criminal Court (ICC) at The Hague for alleged war crimes in Darfur.
Opposition politicians say they have been stopped from holding rallies, and have complained to the National Elections Commission about the material to be used for the vote. “We have been promised that the ballots will be printed in South Africa, so they cannot be duplicated,” says Mubarak al-Fadil, a presidential candidate. “Now we have found out they have been printed on the government printing press here, so the NCP has duplicates. This is very serious.”
Mr Bashir is looking for a convincing victory to legitimise his rule, particularly in view of the ICC’s indictment. He has based his campaign on the economic gains in the two decades since he seized power in a coup. He has also exploited widespread anti-Western and “anti-imperial” sentiment, making much of the West’s apparent determination to oust him. His posters are all over the north of Sudan, far more visibly displayed than those of his rivals. He has campaigned more vigorously than they have too.
But the electoral maths is not entirely to his advantage. The south, whose people make up a quarter of the total electorate, will vote largely for the SPLM’s Yasir Arman. Several northern opposition politicians have strong followings too. If Mr Bashir does not win outright in the first round, most of the losing candidates could back his opponent in the run-off. If this was Mr Arman, it would help Mr Bashir, as many northerners would never vote for an SPLM man. But a head-to-head run-off with Sadiq al-Mahdi, a descendant of the revered 19th-century Mahdi who led a revolt against British rule, would be much trickier. But few in Sudan believe that in such circumstances a second round would be allowed to happen at all.
Copyright © 2010 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group. All rights reserved.
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العنوان |
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Date |
حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-24-10, 05:40 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-24-10, 05:41 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-24-10, 05:46 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | Marouf Sanad | 03-24-10, 06:13 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 02:28 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 02:46 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | Nagi Ahmed | 03-25-10, 03:57 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 05:48 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 05:57 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-25-10, 08:50 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 09:15 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 09:50 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 10:06 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد عمر جبريل | 03-25-10, 10:31 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الرفاعي عبدالعاطي حجر | 03-25-10, 10:32 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 10:40 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-25-10, 10:37 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 11:07 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 11:16 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | بشير أحمد | 03-25-10, 11:20 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 11:33 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 11:44 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 11:34 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 11:57 AM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 12:51 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 02:01 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 12:56 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 02:45 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 03:26 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد إبراهيم علي | 03-25-10, 03:38 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 03:48 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 04:10 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 04:56 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 05:06 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | Balla Musa | 03-25-10, 05:30 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 05:32 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 05:35 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | محمد مكى محمد | 03-25-10, 05:43 PM |
Re: حروف كلمــة (خراب )... | الشفيع وراق عبد الرحمن | 03-25-10, 06:35 PM |
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