فوز حتمى لزوجة الرئيس الحالى برئاسة الأرجنتين خلفا لزوجها

Quote: Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research Argentina 2007: Cristina 44.3%, Elisa 15.7% October 26, 2007 (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Argentina’s first lady appears headed for victory in this weekend’s presidential election, according to a poll by CEOP. 44.3 per cent of respondents would support Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in the ballot, down 2.4 points since early October. Elisa Carrió of the Alliance Affirmation for an Egalitarian Republic (ARI) is second with 15.7 per cent, followed by former economy minister Roberto Lavagna of An Advanced Nation (UNA) with 10.6 per cent, San Luis governor Alberto Rodríguez Saá of the Justicialist Front, Union and Liberty (FREJULI) with 6.5 per cent, and Ricardo López Murphy of Recreate (Recrear) with 3.2 per cent. Néstor Kirchner finished second to former president Carlos Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the Front for Victory (FV). Kirchner was eligible for re-election, but decided to back his wife’s bid instead Argentina has held five presidential elections since the demise of an eight-year military dictatorship in 1982. In the event no candidate garners more than 45 per cent of the vote—or reaches a percentage between 40 and 45 per cent with a 10 per cent lead over the closest competitor—a run-off between the two leading candidates must take place. On Oct. 24, Menem slammed current president Kirchner, saying, "He is not a peronist, he is a populist and he represents the worst kind of populism. To me, he is the anti-Christ." Menem briefly considered joining the presidential race this year, but ended up endorsing Rodríguez Saá instead. Polling Data Who would you vote for in the next presidential election? Mid-Oct. 2007 Early Oct. 2007 Aug. 2007 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 44.3% 45.7% 48.9% Elisa Carrió 15.7% 14.6% 9.3% Roberto Lavagna 10.6% 10.2% 11.9% Alberto Rodríguez Saá 6.5% 4.6% n.a. Ricardo López Murphy 3.2% 3.5% 5.5% Source: CEOP Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,800 Argentine adults, conducted in mid-October 2007. Margin of error is 1.8 per cent.