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 Re: فى عنوان ساخر: الايكونومست تعلّق على التغيير الوزاري (Re: Ahmed musa)
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سلامات يا بكري
وهذا هو تحليل الإيكونوميست المقصود
http://www.economist.com/blogs/pomegranate/2013/12/sudans-re...ce91909083042ad12e30
Sudan's reshuffle
Out with the old, in with the...
WHEN Sudan’s security forces shot dead more than 200 anti-government protestors in the streets of Khartoum on September 23rd, it was not only human rights groups and fellow demonstrators who were shocked. The brutal reaction sent a wave of disgust through Sudan’s political establishment. Senior politicians left the ruling National Congress Party (NCP), the military made it known they were unimpressed and government figures nervously tried to distance themselves from the bloodshed, suggesting “armed groups” were responsible.
On December 8th President Omar al-Bashir announced the outcome of a reshuffle, long-promised as a sop to dissent. He had pledged to bring fresh faces to his aging government, which has been in power for almost 25 years. He has failed to do so. “The newly appointed ministers belong to the old crew of losers who have not achieved anything since they came to power in 1989,” Dr El-Tayib Zein El-Abdin, a professor at Khartoum University, told a local radio station.
Mr Bashir’s reshuffle appears to be aimed at giving a superficial show of change while shoring up his own rule. He swept away members of his inner cabinet. Ali Osman Taha, a senior Islamist and number two in the government, is a clever lawyer, who helped shape Sharia law in Sudan in the early 1980s and brokered peace with rebels in the south, leading to the creation of South Sudan. He has a significant base of support in both the NCP and Islamists. Another to go was Nafie ali Nafi, Mr Bashir’s presidential assistant and another aspiring heir. As a former spy chief he is said to retain significant influence in the seat of real power in this country—the dark and ever present state security organ, the National Intelligence and Security Service.
Mr Taha has been replaced by a loyal military buddy, General Bakri Hassan Salih, who is currently presidential affairs minister and helped seize power in a coup in 1989. Mr Bakri is a man the military respects and are happy to work with. Most of the other new appointments are similar old party stalwarts who have long been in the regime and loyal to it.
That is important to Mr Bashir because an International Criminal Court indictment lies over his head for alleged war crimes in Darfur. He needs to make sure that those wielding power will protect him from any risk of being sent to The Hague to answer them, which, if he honours his pledge not to rerun for election in 2015 will remove the protection his office offers him.
Unfortunately for Khartoum’s long-suffering poor, the reshuffle is unlikely to improve the economy. Sudan’s crisis was triggered by South Sudan’s secession in 2011, which saw the loss of 75% of Khartoum’s oil fields and the dollars that went with them. A weakened currency and rising inflation were supposed to be curbed by a plan announced in 2012 to save $1.23 billion, but this has only been partially implemented (it was a partial lifting of fuel subsidies that triggered protests in September). Subsidies on fuel, sugar and wheat remain.
Wheat is imported to meet demand, and its price in Khartoum went up 50% between 2012 and 2013 according to the World Bank. The cost of bread has risen further still this year; then the government’s lack of dollars to buy flour led to a temporary shortage. For a couple of days, long queues formed. On this occasion, there was little protest. But that might change.
Dec 12th 2013, 8:26 by The Economist | KHARTOUM
ملاحظة: تحليل الإيكونونميست بخصوص بكري حسن صالح يوضح أن الكاتب لا يعرف شيئا عن بكري. أولا هو ليس محبوبا في الجيش كما قالت، ثم أنه ليس هناك جيش بالمعنى الدقيق، وإنما جيش حزبي في القيادات العليا والوسيطة، وهذه ستكون مشكلة البشير، إضافة لمشاكله مع الجنجويد والمليشيات، وما قصة موسى هلال إلا دليل على ما أقول.
بعدين الوكلاات التي ترجمت كلام الإيكونوميست لم تترجم بدقة هذه العبارة:
Ali Osman Taha, a senior Islamist and number two in the government, is a clever lawyer, who helped shape Sharia law in Sudan in the early 1980s
حيث أسقطت كلمة الشريعة من عبارة "قوانين الشريعة".
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Yasir Elsharif
فيس بوك
تويتر
انستقرام
يوتيوب
بنتيريست