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 NAG and SPLA Peace Agreement - an Immense Quagmire
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No doubt that the ongoing civil war in Sudan exhausted the resources and minds of the Sudanese people. As a result, all Sudanese are looking for any exit from this devastating war. They are supporting the ongoing peace agreement between the National Assembly Government (NAG) and the Sudanese People Liberation Army (SPLA) eagerly without considering the negative aspects of the agreement. However, this ongoing peace agreement is considered an extremely immense quagmire for the Sudanese people because it would create severe suffering for majority of the Sudanese people, it would lead to other type of rebellion, and it would make the dismantling of the Sudan inevitable.
To begin with, the ongoing civil war would create severe suffering for the majority of Sudanese people because of unequal division of the resources. For example, if the annual national income which is used to run the public service in the country is about one billion U.S dollars annually, the agreement would cut this income in half. The first 50% is for six million people in the south, and the rest, which is about five hundred million dollars, is for the other parts of the country. As for the south, its portion would enable it to do everything it wants. However, the other parts of the country would experience severe shortage in its income which leads to deepening the deterioration of its public service.
Similarly, the peace agreement would lead to other rebellions in the other regions of Sudan wanting to get the same consideration. As an example of that, the civil war in Dar Fur state, which became an official opposition recently, also would get the same consideration as the southern Sudanese because both regions have about seven million people. So, if the Dar Fur state received half of the Sudanese government portion, it would leave $250 million dollars for the 18 million people in the other regions. Definitely, this $250 million would not be worth anything comparing it to the needs of the other regions. Therefore, the agreement would lead to deepening the Sudanese problem and create more problems than it resolves.
The last point is that, this peace agreement would make the dismantling of the Sudan inevitable because it weakens the patriotism and strengthens the racism and religious zealots. I would say, after this agreement any group in any region would follow the same token. It would raise either racism or religious problems in order to get the same rights as the southern region did. So, the agreement would lead to the decline of the Sudanese’s patriotism and promote racism and religious zealots. Generally, the Sudanese people would become more and more fanatic to their race (African or Arabian) and their specific geographic area (tribal territory) rather than to the whole country because they would feel that this is the only way to guarantee their rights.
Finally, because of the reasons above, I would say this ongoing peace agreement would turn out to be an immense quagmire for the Sudanese people. In my viewpoint, the reasonable solution for the ongoing problem is that the Sudanese people must:
1- Get rid of the president Omar Hassan Albashir and his henchmen that form the power because they failed to rule and to save the unity of country as microcosm of Africa, as well as they are prompting the racism to defeat the rebellions and the political opponents in the country.
2- Avert relying on the current Uma Party as national party to serve in behalf of the country because it founded the racism in the country by establishing Al-Tajamo Al-Arabi in mid eighties which harm the country by its discriminatory motives.
3- Reject any unreasonable demands or conditions by any opponent or proponent of the government’s policy that jeopardize the unity of the country.
4- Abolish any unofficial militia such as Al-Tajamo Al-Arabi militias (Janjaweed) that formed by the Uma party and legitimized by NAG to fight along the National Army in the civil war because it ruined the National Army institution by #####ng the innocent civilians’ properties and committing discriminatory and genocidal crime against the civilians in Dar Fur.
5- Compel all opposition leaders, particularly Dr John Grang, to be objective in their demands of the power and the national wealth distribution. Also, to be cautious not only of their people’s rights, but also of the rights of every marginalized Sudanese in the country.
If the Sudanese people do not consider these points above and treat the negative aspects of the NAG and SPLA agreement in order to be in the best interests of the country, I would assure that the country would experience serious suffering. Also, it would face other types of rebellion or civil war, and would get into inevitable dismantling.
Elhadi Adam Elomdah
[email protected]
Date: May 28, 2004
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